By Roger C. Kostmayer

We’re 9 months from what many experts say is one of the most important elections in US history.  But for whom should you vote in a primary? Regardless of political affiliation, that may seem simple to some.  But half the people or more still have a big vote to determine who their candidate will be. And 9 months is an eternity in politics.  Leaders in the polls can fade quickly, and long shots can suddenly catch fire. So what can a rational patriotic person like you do?

Polls and data tell us that, generally, voters now do one of two things.  They either vote for the person they like – who seems to want to help them; or (in this competitive primary election) they vote for the candidate most likely to beat President Trump.  37% do the former, 61% do the latter. But what if you could do both and roughly quantify the results?

Try this.  Rank your 3 favorite Democratic candidates from 1st to 3rd, and give them 3 points, 2 points and 1 point respectively.  Then rank the top 3 candidates, based on data and your objective analysis, who are the most likely to beat Trump. Echoing current polls, overweight the point allocation as 5, 3, 1 respectively.  Then add all the points for each of the 6 or fewer candidates. You may be surprised. In my own case the highest score was for a candidate that wasn’t among my top 2 personal preferences.

The only time this test has any value to anyone, is 24 hours or less before the polls open.

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